Gold : Fundamental Factors
1)Prices are close to a two-month low and concerns over high US inflation and a hawkish response from the Federal Reserve are affecting the market.
2) Copper prices rose slightly after falling last week, concerns over a potential economic slowdown due to tighter monetary policy are offsetting bets on a recovery in Chinese copper demand this year.
3) The US dollar was strong and the 10-year Treasury yields were high, which affects non-yielding assets like gold. The fear of losing money by holding non-yielding assets is causing metal prices to weaken.
4) Core Durable Goods Orders m/m is expected to be at 0.1%.
5) Pending Home Sales m/m is expected to be at 0.9% compare to 2.5% .
The trend is Uncertain, possibly still bearish
Fundamental Range : 1,810.49-1,814.21
Gold :Technical Analysis
Check at Daily Timeframe Support and Resistance for Fibonacci.
Check based on the current timing for the Support and Resistance when you want to go into trade.
Resistance Area : 1812.80,1813.24,1813.95
Support Area : 1811.38,1810.94,1810.23
Pivot point : 1812.09
Confirm with technical indicators and based on your own technical analysis for the trend.
Check investing.com to get more info on what most indicator would display
Check higher timeframe also for more confirmation for entry in Daily timeframe.
The technical indicator display sell in Daily and strong buy in weekly and strong buy in monthly timeframe.
Use linear regression to get confirmation trend at daily as they are not available in investing.com
Linear regression shows upward trend at the daily timeframe .Can check linear regression trend in weekly and monthly for more confirmation.For weekly, it is downtrend and for monthly,it is showing uptrend.
Use Bolinger Band Strategy Tester and RSI Strategy Tester to get more confirmation for the trend and percent profitable.Check at bigger timeframe also such as weekly and monthly.
Ensure that both RSI strategy and Bolinger Band Strategy gives above 50%. for the percent profitable
RSI strategy tester and Bolinger Band Strategy Tester at the daily and weekly has percentage higher than 50% , and monthly has lesser than 50% for the RSI strategy Tester and Bolinger Band Strategy Tester.
Gold : Find Sell at the daily chart by using the resistance point,1813.95 ,take profit will be at the pivot point , 1812.09
(See current market and find the nearest support point for entry and take profit at the pivot point)
Fundamental and Technical analysis must be aligned
For further information, contact me ,Gurmit at +60142584067, I will guide anyone who wants to register with Weltrade.
DISCLAIMER :This analysis is based on Investing.com and Forexfactory.com. You may follow based on your own discreetion.
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